“I think that the potential for this is great in the next six months,” he told The Associated Press in a recent interview.
Unfortunately, the development of autonomous systems will also come as a result of manpower shortages. Ukraine is much smaller, population-wise, than Russia, and President Vladimir Putin's army is getting beaten up badly, with more than 100,000 lost thus far, according to reports, which is making the war very unpopular in his country and will complicate efforts for him to recruit enough men to refill depleted ranks.
Lt. Col. Yaroslav Honchar, a Ukrainian military officer, is a co-founder of the combat drone innovation nonprofit Aerorozvidka. In a recent interview near the front lines in the country's east, he said human soldiers cannot make decisions and process information nearly as fast as a machine. He added that while Ukrainian military leaders and the country's civilian leadership currently do not permit the use of fully autonomous lethal weapons, that may change in the future, especially if Russia continues targeting the country's infrastructure and neighboring Belarus joins forces and sends troops into Ukraine as expected.
“We have not crossed this line yet – and I say ‘yet’ because I don’t know what will happen in the future.” said Honchar, whose group has led drone innovation in Ukraine, converting cheap commercial drones into highly lethal weapons.
These systems will make their debut on some Ukrainian battlefield in the not-too-distant future. Count on it.
Sources include:
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