A Hungarian top security expert predicts that the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely to end in 2024.
In a recent interview with Index, a Hungarian news outlet, top security expert Péter Tarjányi said the upcoming U.S. elections could influence the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. He added that the outcome of the election will impact the stance of the West on financing Ukrainian forces.
According to Tarjányi, the geopolitical landscape is uncertain. He suggested that the United States and Europe might find themselves dealing with armed conflicts on multiple fronts simultaneously in the years to come. In other words, both sides are now engaged in a strategic waiting game.
Tarjányi, who was the director of operations for Hungary's Counter-Terrorism Center (TEK) before founding his private cyber-defense firm in 1998, describes the year 2023 as a year of surprises and disappointments. He pointed out that the reliance of the U.S. on economic sanctions against Russia and expectations of a successful Ukrainian counter-offensive did not yield the desired outcomes.
He noted that one of the most startling revelations was the emergence of a military bloc consisting of Russia, China, North Korea and Iran, aligned against the West – a development previously concealed to some extent. Tarjányi drew attention to the possibility of armed conflicts involving major global blocs. He suggested that the South China Sea poses a significant concern for the U.S. and its allies, while Europe must remain vigilant against potential Russian aggression, necessitating an independent defense strategy.
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